Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 3.970769 4.244374 4.540876 4.888596 5.288569 5.738489 6.289128
2025-03-16 3.492812 3.838906 4.234644 4.728227 5.338887 6.086551 7.100687
2025-03-23 3.230139 3.635420 4.121061 4.762048 5.613493 6.752919 8.492911
2025-03-30 2.990710 3.430122 3.977104 4.734653 5.807328 7.371576 10.083040
2025-04-06 2.765650 3.218702 3.799838 4.636967 5.889089 7.864624 11.760281
2025-04-13 2.550444 3.000060 3.589718 4.464925 5.832044 8.136370 13.257865
2025-04-20 2.449357 2.921457 3.558993 4.544560 6.181743 9.231797 17.565059
2025-04-27 2.365290 2.857726 3.541282 4.640617 6.585203 10.633857 25.244995
2025-05-04 2.305428 2.821573 3.558386 4.793708 7.136482 12.723870 44.558652
2025-05-11 2.228637 2.754916 3.522850 4.854330 7.533453 14.796356 96.889552
2025-05-18 2.138946 2.662974 3.439842 4.820732 7.729150 16.518112 376.471945
2025-05-25 2.050383 2.566880 3.342129 4.747695 7.821459 18.055659 NaN
2025-06-01 1.968465 2.481905 3.265023 4.722413 8.077353 21.001434 NaN
2025-06-08 1.870067 2.366873 3.131234 4.574311 7.994644 22.428692 NaN
2025-06-15 1.813638 2.312365 3.092675 4.608110 8.419827 28.255465 NaN
2025-06-22 1.751852 2.246013 3.029134 4.583829 8.687422 34.795825 NaN
2025-06-29 1.684357 2.167210 2.938784 4.492863 8.731349 40.323503 NaN
2025-07-06 1.610944 2.075773 2.821066 4.331185 8.506776 41.993180 NaN
2025-07-13 1.579926 2.049433 2.814074 4.407112 9.113635 67.324643 NaN
2025-07-20 1.553009 2.027968 2.813741 4.498377 9.847303 153.207682 NaN
2025-07-27 1.534626 2.019029 2.834858 4.643274 10.922670 NaN NaN
2025-08-03 1.505925 1.991634 2.819990 4.700768 11.694833 NaN NaN
2025-08-10 1.468469 1.948008 2.771874 4.669348 12.032880 NaN NaN